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1.
Lawrence Klein 《Economic Systems Research》2003,15(3):269-277
Three major, interrelated accounting statements, at the frontiers of quantitative economic analysis, are three interrelated systems, namely: (1) National income and product accounts (NIPA), (2) The input-output tableaux, (IO), and (3) flow-of- funds accounts (FF). The third-mentioned system is somewhat less available and used in only limited areas of macroeconomic analysis. This paper is mainly concerned with use of FF accounting systems. This system shows where financial resources originate, and where they go in support of real capital formation. In this respect, interest rates and other market-based financial rates are of key importance. While much macroeconomic analysis is based on the rates that fit the yield curve, showing the interest rate structure over various maturities of debt associated with a given degree of risk. In contrast, the FF accounts throw light on the whole spectrum of interest rates, across maturities and debt qualities. For example, in analysis of the real estate market and funding of capital formation there, it is important to have a full understanding of the course of mortgage rates of different maturities and qualities. In short, it is necessary to develop a full appreciation of supply and demand forces in the mortgage market, which often is not obviously related to movements of the operative rate for monetary policy, such as very short-term inter bank rates or call money rates. This paper attempts to provide material from the flow-of-funds accounts that would make it possible to analyze the movement of relevant mortgage rates or whatever other rates are needed to understand the financing of capital formation in real estate. 相似文献
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LEI Hong-zhen CHEN Hao XU Yi-ping LI Yun 《中国经济评论(英文版)》2007,6(3):41-48
The concept and the characteristic of spread spectrum technology of knowledge network based on information integration environment are given at first. And the basic principle of the wireless network of knowledge and information is recommended. Then a project alternatives using the spread spectrum technology and wireless network is given to build a across-the abroad knowledge network system. 相似文献
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本文提出了晶体和频率控制元件的模型,介绍了基本电路的设计,并详细讨论了压控晶体振荡器调制器产生最小音频失真的必要条件。 相似文献
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This paper evaluates the use of several parametric and nonparametric forecasting techniques for predicting tourism demand in selected European countries. We find that no single model can provide the best forecasts for any of the countries in the short-, medium- and long-run. The results, which are tested for statistical significance, enable forecasters to choose the most suitable model (from those evaluated here) based on the country and horizon for forecasting tourism demand. Should a single model be of interest, then, across all selected countries and horizons the Recurrent Singular Spectrum Analysis model is found to be the most efficient based on lowest overall forecasting error. Neural Networks and ARFIMA are found to be the worst performing models. 相似文献
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《International Journal of Forecasting》2020,36(3):1128-1137
On 23 June, 2016, the UK held a referendum to decide whether to stay in the European Union or leave. The uncertainty surrounding the outcome of this referendum had major consequences for public policy, investment decisions, and currency markets. We discuss some of the subtleties involved in smoothing and disentangling poll data in light of the problem of tracking the dynamics of the intention to Brexit, and propose a multivariate singular spectrum analysis method that produces trendlines on the unit simplex. The trendline yield via multivariate singular spectrum analysis is shown to resemble that of local polynomial smoothing, and singular spectrum analysis presents the nice feature of disentangling the dynamics directly into components that can be interpreted as changes in public opinion or sampling error. The merits and disadvantages of some different approaches for obtaining smooth trendlines on the unit simplex are contrasted, in terms of both local polynomial smoothing and multivariate singular spectrum analysis. 相似文献
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采用离子球模型研究了强耦合氢等离子体中杂质Be3+的原子结构和光谱性质随离子球大小的变化规律.结果表明,强耦合等离子体的屏蔽效应对其中的原子结构和光谱影响很大,而且不同模型给出的结果有很大的差别;在离子球模型下,类氢的轨道电离能随着屏蔽效应的增强而单调减小,轨道的简并度解除,但是随着屏蔽效应的增强,轨道将二次简并,轨道能级关于角动量发生发转;不同主量子数n两能级之间辐射的光谱随着屏蔽效应的增强先红移而后蓝移,在非相对论情况下,屏蔽效应引起同n轨道能级劈裂,辐射出新的光谱,该光谱随着等离子体效应的增强先蓝移后红移,经过再次简并后继续蓝移,直到不再辐射出光谱为止;轨道之间的重叠积分由于等离子体屏蔽效应先减小而后增大,从而振子强度随着等离子体屏蔽效应的增强先减小而后增大.目前的计算数据与可查的数据非常符合. 相似文献